Could Lee DeWyze really be leaving tonight on Idol???

Well yesterday I picked Lee DeWyze as the most likely winner of American Idol this season.

Well what a difference one performance show can make. Because if you missed Marc Berman's Programming Insider Podcast, I am now sadly predicting his sudden exit from the show tonight.

Here are the reasons why:

1. He went first last night which means many people didn't see his performance who tuned in a little late. Add that to the fact the judges didn't really have any really negative stuff to say to the other contestants this week and gave all of the other contestants mostly praise meaning the other 5 will all get votes based partially on the judges' comments.

2. Crystal, who had a below average performance this week and should be in the bottom 3, will now have the fans voting for her that don't usually vote other weeks when she appears to be safe based on the many positive comments by the judges.

3. The judges still seem to give Aaron Kelly the "he's only 17" treatment making people think he is still growing in the competition. They have been much easier on him when it comes to criticisms than the other contestants this season in general.

4. Siobhan, who should also be in the bottom 3, was critiqued on her fashion sense, not her singing abilities by 3 of the 4 judges and even Simon's comments about the loud screams at the end of the song are not going to put her in the bottom 3 this week in my opinion.

So my bottom 3 tonight are:

Aaron Kelly, who will be saved because of the judges' positive comments again this week. He will probably be the first one sent to safety tonight of the bottom 3.

Michael Lynche, who didn't have one of his better performances last night. But he will probably be sparred because of the funny conversation that took place between the Judges right after Simon's comments.

And of course I am predicting Lee to go home for the reasons above, which would be a great travesty of American Idol this season. Lee was definitely worthy of moving on, but Siobhan and Aaron should be the ones who should be up for elimination this week.

Here is how I think the results show will play out based on my predictions:

Ryan Seacrest will first announce that Casey James is safe. Then he will mention that Aaron Kelly is in the bottom 3. Then he will announce that Siobhan Magnus is safe. Then we get the news that Michael Lynche is in the bottom 3.

That leaves us with Lee DeWyze and Crystal Bowersox. Of course by doing the math we know one is obviously safe and the other will be in the bottom 3. Everyone will think that maybe Crystal is in the bottom 3 because Lee was one of the better singers last night and Crystal was below average last night. And then Ryan Seacrest will drop the bomb that Lee is in the bottom 3 while Crystal is safe.

Then Seacrest will announce to Aaron Kelly that he is safe and can go back to join the rest of the contestants moving on. That leaves us with Michael Lynche and Lee DeWyze. Then Seacrest will ask the judges who they think will leave this week and the judges will say Big Mike. Then Seacrest will put the nail in the coffin of Lee DeWyze's Idol run by announcing he was indeed the lowest vote getter this week. And of course there is no longer a judges' save in play so it will be adios to Lee.

And if Lee, one of the favorites goes tonight, it wouldn't be the first time. Remember Michael Johns and Chris Daughtry. And we can't forget Michael Lynche who would have went home a few weeks back if not for the judges' save this season.

Hopefully, I will be wrong. We will find out tonight.